Wednesday, February 11, 2009

The Australian paradox

Some people have questioned the previous posts that highlight abnormal cold conditions in various parts of the northern hemisphere, and their obvious contradiction of Global Warming by citing the example of Australia. For some days now certain parts of Australia, most notably Queensland have been subject to devastating forest fires that have claimed hundreds of lives. In addition higher than normal temperatures in those areas (touching 46 centigrade) have inevitably prompted the press to highlight that although Europe freezes, the supposedly intense heat of Australia shows that we are still in the grips of Global Warming.

So does this really confirm that despite anomalies we are on track for a global meltdown?

Financially this may well be so, however when it comes to the environment the evidence is severely lacking.

So just what is going on in Australia? Why is it now so hot?

To answer this we must first explain that in Australia it is now summer, and although temperatures of 46 centigrade are nothing rare in Australia, they are apparently not that common in Queensland.

So why are they happening now? Why did Queensland fry?

As always in questions of this nature answers hinge around a question of wind direction rather than swirling clouds of increased carbon dioxide. At the time of the heatwave winds had been trapped in a revolving pattern around this area so that more cooling winds could not penetrate. However this situation did not last long as cooler, damper, and more rain bearing conditions eventually established more normal conditions.

It is also worth noting that even at the peak of the Queensland heatwave, temperatures in other parts of Australia were very much close to normal, and some areas registered night time lows as far down as nine degrees centigrade. It is also worth noting that at the time of posting Queensland temperatures have also fallen close to normal and plainly show that despite recent events this was a limited and localised event that cannot be explained by shifting clouds of carbon dioxide but by clearly identifiable weather traits that for a short but deadly period brought abnormal heat conditions to Queensland.

It should also be noted that the forest fires that claimed many lives were not the result of the heat alone, but the criminal actions of certain individuals, whose motives and identity have yet to be established. Either way the imprint of carbon dioxide is nowhere present, and is certain to have played no role in this disaster.

But one other point! The supposedly carbon dioxide rich industries that are supposed to have caused this hypothetical carbon dioxide nightmare are nearly all located in the northern hemisphere. This is important because due to the coriolis effect there is little circulation of air between the hemispheres. In fact when nuclear war between the so called super powers was a distinct possibility many people emigrated to the southern hemisphere precisely for this reason, because according to the estimates nuclear fallout would not penetrate there.

All in all we can conclude that although Queensland has suffered a terrible nightmare of heat and human induced fires this cannot be used as evidence to support Global Warming. For example nearby areas experienced conditions that were not out of the ordinary, and prevailing winds locked out cooling winds that would have made a substantial difference.

The image below shows the Queensland fires as viewed from space satellite pics provided by NASA:

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Sun flare flat line

Recent posts have drawn attention to unusual cold snaps and the way these appear to contradict the idea we are heading for catastrophic Global Warming. After all why wouldn't it? Numerous US States have registered record low temperatures, and Britain is seeing one of its coldest winters for around two decades.

For those of a truly objective persuasion these facts can only point to a number of conclusions: Either this whole idea of Global Warming is an inelaborate hoax, or there is something that hasn't been fully considered. In this most recent of cases that something could well be Solar activity. We are now in a prolonged - some would say over prolonged spell of Solar inactivity - and though this corresponds to the well established Solar minimum, in its 11 year cycle, it is a matter of record that this particular low has caused concern in certain circles, leading some to believe there may be something wrong with the Sun; that perhaps it is entering into another less beneficial (as it concerns us) period of stellar activity.

In simple language it means that stars like our Sun go through various stages of growth, and much like humans this growth is relative to age. Effectively our Sun is in middle age, but there is no telling when it may develop the symptoms of a star in decline: just like a human that is past their prime. The difficulty is that when our Sun exhibits unpredictable periods, even a very slight fluctuation has a massive impact here on Earth.

But if this latest hyper cold spell were indeed to be Solar induced then where is the evidence? Here we need only look at the evidence we see from recent Solar Flare activity, or rather the lack of it. The plain truth is that since the very beginning of this cold snap Solar Flare activity has been low to almost non existent. The chart below illustrates this very forcefully, and you don't have to be an expert in Solar physics to appreciate the difference between that and the chart below it, which shows average Solar flare activity during the last Solar maximum when talk of Global Warming was at a peak.





To us it seems obvious that Solar flare activity is a prime factor in driving temperatures here on Earth, and example after example are beginning to confirm this. After all when you turn up the fire the room gets warmer, and the opposite is also true. So how is it so hard to accept that when the Sun tones down its activity the Earth gets a little colder, and when it flares up again (quite literally) we get conditions that are mistaken for human induced temperature changes.

Fact is that the Sun is our fire and main source of energy, in this room we call Earth that is our home. Without it planet Earth would be very cold indeed and incapable of supporting life of any sort. So lets be clear: The Sun is our thermostat that regulates how hot or cold we get.

What sort of Global Warming do you call this then eh....??

Britain is in the grips of one of its coldest periods for over 20 years.Some areas have seen temperatures dip to as low as minus 12 Celsius, which for the Gulf Stream protected UK is plenty cold. So cold in fact that it has severely affected the smooth running of the entire nation.

Trains, planes, and distribution networks have been adversely affected, even the very infrastructure of government as well as the financial sector of the famous City of London. Added to this schools have closed, hospitals forced to work at reduced capacity and the question on everyone's mind is how does this equate to the idea of a super heated cauldron of carbon dioxide that is widely believed to be transforming this planet into a coming wasteland? Obviously something must be wrong with this assumption. Obviously opinions need to be revised. Looking for answers? Well do no more than read the post above.